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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$32.1M vol.
84%
No change17%
25 bps increase
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$813.7K vol.
100%
Other<1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
$642.5K vol.
77%
Yes24%
No
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$54M vol.
96%
0 (0 bps)2%
1 (25 bps)
Fed Decision in December?
$2.9M vol.
75%
25 bps increase23%
No change
What will be the next Fed rate change?
$27.4K vol.
100%
Hike<1%
Cut
No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?
$20.5K vol.
100%
September 30100%
October 15
Fed Decision in January?
$297.8K vol.
66%
No change32%
25 bps increase
Fed rate cut by...?
$3.7M vol.
80%
July 2027 Meeting50%
June 2027 Meeting
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$350.2K vol.
16%
Below 4.7%6%
Below 4.6%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$960.2K vol.
63%
5.4%40%
5.5%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
82%
↑ 4.25%13%
↑ 4.5%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
$22.4K vol.
64%
5.32%55%
5.35%
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.9M vol.
71%
4.25%23%
4.0%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
$11.3K vol.
70%
Below 5.18%60%
Below 5.15%
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$14.8K vol.
66%
4.90%54%
5.00%
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$28K vol.
64%
Pause-Hike-Pause11%
Pause-Pause-Pause
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$18.7K vol.
31%
024%
3
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$36.6K vol.
12%
December 315%
October 31
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
$15.9K vol.
17%
4.25%15%
4.0%
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$205.2K vol.
77%
5.70%60%
5.80%
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
$18.1K vol.
77%
5.76%68%
5.73%
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
$14.3K vol.
86%
5.11%68%
5.08%
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$83.7K vol.
16%
Below 4.50%10%
Below 4.45%
